Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 53.7%
Previsores
3
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado29/01/26, 01:49 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Who Will be Deputy Prime Minister after the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsWho Will be Finance Minister after the 2026 NZ Election?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PolymarketNZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PolymarketIsrael election: Which party will win the most seats?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
PolymarketRegras
resolves yes if the party that wins the most seats supplies the prime minister after the 2026 nz election.
- If tie for most seats, resolves YES if one of them supplies the prime minister.
- If a PM cant be decided after the 2026 Nov 7 election, and a new election is called, this will resolve based on the results from the second election (or whichever subsequent election is the final one before a PM is decided)
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 697,7 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 471,3 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 54% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election? é resolvido?
- Will the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: resolves yes if the party that wins the most seats supplies the prime minister after the 2026 nz election.