Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 94.7%
Previsores
21
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado4/02/25, 08:45 UTC2/01/27, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
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Some people on the right have made noise about restricting the NWS from providing weather forecasts in the past, and with Trump back in office, they may try to do so again.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if the National Weather Service stops providing weather forecasts to the U.S. public before January 1, 2027.
- Specifically, this will resolve YES if the NWS does not provide forecasts, or provides forecasts limited to the following 72 hours or less, to areas of the U.S. representing a majority of Americans, for a period of at least one week.
- This includes both their website (weather.gov) and official forecast products.
- The market will resolve NO if NOAA continues to provide weather forecasts through 2026.
- Temporary interruptions in service due to technical issues or government shutdowns will not count as stopping forecasts.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the NWS stop providing weather forecasts before 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the NWS stop providing weather forecasts before 2027? é resolvido?
- Will the NWS stop providing weather forecasts before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will the NWS stop providing weather forecasts before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Some people on the right have made noise about restricting the NWS from providing weather forecasts in the past, and with Trump back in office, they may try to do so again.