Will the number of U.S. Supreme Court Justices confirmed between June 15, 2026 and January 20, 2029 be at least one?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 86.9%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 23 horas
Desatualizado15/06/26, 14:09 UTC20/01/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Donald Trump appoint at least 2 Supreme Court Justices during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the Republican-Democrat balance of US Supreme Court justices by the 2029 inauguration?
Manifold MarketsHow many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?
KalshiWhich Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
KalshiHow many supreme court justices will Trump appoint during his current term
Manifold MarketsHow many justices will be appointed to the Supreme Court during the current presidential term?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between June 15, 2026, and January 20, 2029 (inclusive), the United States Senate votes to confirm at least one nominee to the Supreme Court of the United States.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Date Range: The official Senate confirmation vote must take place on or after June 15, 2026, and on or before 11:59:59 AM ET on January 20, 2029.
- Definition of Confirmation: A nominee is considered "confirmed" when the U.S. Senate passes a vote to advise and consent to the nomination.
- Actual swearing-in, taking the judicial oath, or officially assuming office is not required for a "YES" resolution, provided the Senate confirmation vote is successful within the specified timeframe.
