Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair?
PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoLatin AmericaEurope4aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 65%
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10
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado17/01/26, 00:52 UTC31/12/30, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- As of January 3, 2026, Nicolás Maduro was captured by U.S. forces and Vice-president Delcy Rodríguez was installed as acting president, leaving the timing of the next presidential election unclear.
- This market resolves YES if the next presidential election held in Venezuela meets international standards for free and fair elections.
- Resolution will be based on assessments from credible international election observation missions, including the Carter Center, UN Panel of Electoral Experts, and other recognized international observers.
- Key criteria include: transparent vote counting with disaggregated results published by polling station, absence of systematic fraud or irregularities, freedom of candidate registration and campaign activities, absence of widespread voter intimidation or repression, and media access for all candidates.
- Resolution will reference reports from these organizations and statements from major international bodies (EU, OAS, U.S. State Department, etc.).
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 65% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair? é resolvido?
- Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2030.
- Como Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria