Will the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolíticaEleição2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 69.5%
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32
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado1/10/23, 22:15 UTC21/01/29, 07:59 UTC
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Only resolves to the next new president after Biden.
- Current and past presidents who get re-elected don't count.
- Resolves YES if a scandal about sexual impropriety that happened in office comes out that hits many of the major news sources while they're still in office, otherwise NO after their term(s) are finished.
- As this might resolve after their first term if they don't get re-elected, this won't be re-resolved if they go on to serve split terms and have such a scandal in their second unconnected term.
- This question's close date is likely to be extended by future election results.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 70% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office? é resolvido?
- Will the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office? deverá ser resolvido em 21 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Only resolves to the next new president after Biden.