Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 78.9%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado25/02/25, 05:09 UTC5/03/50, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
Resolves YES if an ecumenical council is convened by the pope following Pope Francis (An ecumenical council in any location is enough to resolve this as YES.
- It does not have to happen in Vatican City, and does not have to be called "Vatican 3." The name is just making reference to Vatican 2, the most recent ecumenical council).
- Resolves N/A if Pope Francis convenes an ecumenical council, or there's somehow no new pope before 2040.
Mercados abertos
Religion
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume total
- € 56,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 12,6 mil
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No96%
- Yes-76.0pt4%
- Volume total
- € 8,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,4 mil
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Pietro Parolin5%
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 118 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 63,7
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume total
- € 674,4
- Volume 24h
- —
FUTUURRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- No81%
- Yes19%
- Volume total
- € 3,1
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSGutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
- Yes55.3%
- No44.7%
- Volume total
- € 2,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- —
- Catholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
- Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
- Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
- Will Joe Rogan convert to Islam by the end of 2030?
- Will Jesus Christ return in 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the next pope convene Vatican 3??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 79% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the next pope convene Vatican 3? é resolvido?
- Will the next pope convene Vatican 3? deverá ser resolvido em 5 de março de 2050.
- Como Will the next pope convene Vatican 3? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if an ecumenical council is convened by the pope following Pope Francis (An ecumenical council in any location is enough to resolve this as YES.