PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 91%+0.1pt
Qualidade do mercado
33 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
475,7 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
3.1% / 14.0%
Spread
10.9 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
-0.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Pope convokes any ecumenical council between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Only ecumenical councils will qualify.
- Plenary or provincial councils will not be considered.
- This market will resolve according to announcements from the Pope, Vatican officials, or a consensus of credible reporting.
- Any official announcement will qualify, regardless of if or when the council actually occurs.
Mercados abertos
ReligionPOLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume total
- € 56,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 10,9 mil
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No-3.0pt87%
- Yes+3.0pt13%
- Volume total
- € 786,8
- Volume 24h
- € 19,3
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Pierbattista Pizzaballa+1.5pt5%
- Pietro Parolin5%
- Matteo Zuppi+1.4pt4%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 117,9 mil
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will be the 19th president of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints?
- Dieter F. Uchtdorf+1.3pt33.2%
- David A. Bednar+1.2pt28.6%
- Henry B. Eyring+1.0pt24.5%
+2 mais resultados
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Volume total
- € 661,7
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Joe Schmid be Catholic before 2030?
- Yes93.8%
- No6.2%
- Volume total
- € 436,2
- Volume 24h
- € 276,2
- Shechita banned in Canada by EOY 2026?
- Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?
- Will I successfully brainwash myself into becoming Christian after 6 months?
- Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself?
- Will Joe Schmid be Catholic end of 2026?
- Will Bentham's Bulldog be Catholic end of 2026?
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- Will Donald Trump post an image of himself as the prophet Muhammad?
- Will Usha Vance convert to Christianity before the election?
- Will a Jewish Third Temple be built in Jerusalem by January 1, 2030?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Vatican III in 2026??
- A Polymarket cota No em 91% em 4 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Vatican III in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Pope convokes any ecumenical council between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.