Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEuropa3a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 66%
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado18/04/25, 20:06 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will the 2028 election be free and fair?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. have a free and fair presidential election in 2028?
Manifold MarketsThe 2026 US Congressional election will be free and fair
Manifold MarketsWill Brazil's 2026 election be free and fair?
Manifold MarketsEl Salvador Presidential Election Winner
PolymarketWill Denmark implement a wealth tax by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next presidential election in El Salvador is deemed both free and fair by a majority of reputable international election monitoring organizations, such as the Organization of American States (OAS) and the European Union (EU).
- Conversely, it will resolve to "No" if these organizations report significant irregularities or violations that compromise the election's freedom and fairness.
- The next presidential election is scheduled for 2029, although this contract will resolve for the next presidential election after the 2024 election, regardless of when it is held.
- El Salvador held its most recent presidential election on February 4, 2024.
- Incumbent President Nayib Bukele secured re-election with approximately 84.6% of the vote.
