Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 67%
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8
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado26/08/25, 15:54 UTC4/07/29, 15:49 UTC
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Who will be the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election?
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PolymarketRegras
Under UK law there is no fixed date for the next General Election (GE).
- However the law does state that the next GE must be held before 15th of August 2029.
- For the purposes of this question a full term will mean serving in government for more then 4 full years.
- Therefore if there is no GE before 4th of July 2028 then this question will resolve YES.
- The Labour party took office on early July 2024.
- It took office with a very low voter share and grown to become incredibly unpopular with student labour party groups disaffiliting from the party.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the Labour party be in office for more than 4 years before the next general election??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 67% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the Labour party be in office for more than 4 years before the next general election? é resolvido?
- Will the Labour party be in office for more than 4 years before the next general election? deverá ser resolvido em 4 de julho de 2029.
- Como Will the Labour party be in office for more than 4 years before the next general election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Under UK law there is no fixed date for the next General Election (GE).