Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleiçãoManifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Yes (46.3%)
Resolvido: 19 de ago. de 2026, 08:24
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
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Previsão da comunidade atualNão 53.7%
Previsores
21
Tipo de pergunta
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Metodologia
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Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado ontem
Desatualizado12/08/26, 4:5518/08/26, 23:59
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes46.3%
No53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Regras
A nonpartisan primary election will be held on August 18, 2026, from which the top four candidates will advance to the general election, which will be conducted under ranked-choice voting.
- Resolves yes if he (Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. (Republican)[a], former U.S. Forest Service employee[9][3] (no relation to the incumbent)) advances based on votes recieved in the primary.
- Any legal challenge based on his name does not affect the outcome.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Alaska
