Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 93.1%
Previsores
72
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado30/01/26, 16:37 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
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Manifold MarketsCuban regime falls in 2026?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
PolymarketRegras
This market predicts whether Cuba’s current one-party communist regime ceases to govern the country before the end of 2026.
- For the purposes of this market, “regime collapse” refers to a loss of effective political control by the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC), not merely protests, economic deterioration, or leadership reshuffles within the same power structure.
- ✅ Resolves YES if any of the following occur before December 31, 2026:
- The PCC formally loses its constitutional monopoly on power
- A non-PCC government (interim or permanent) assumes control of the Cuban state
- Miguel Díaz-Canel resigns, flees, or is removed and is not replaced by another PCC hardliner
