Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 66.9%
Previsores
3
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
6/03/25, 10:37 UTC1/01/00, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
This market focuses on the extinction risk of the Beijing Loach, a newly discovered species, that is not evaluated by the IUCN yet.
- Extinction is defined as the death of the last individual, including wild and captive animals.
- The market will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier.
- It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the population is extinct.
- The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the Beijing Loach persists.
- For more information about the species, see:
