Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 20 de out. de 2026, 23:40 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 97.7%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado20/09/26, 22:29 UTC30/04/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if any candidate in the 2027 French presidential election (or a snap presidential election, if one is triggered earlier) wins an absolute majority of the votes cast (more than 50%) in the first round, thereby winning the presidency outright without the need for a runoff.
- This market will resolve to NO if no candidate secures more than 50% of the cast votes in the first round, resulting in a second-round runoff between the top two candidates.
- Sources of Truth:
- Official election data published by the French Ministry of the Interior (Ministère de l'Intérieur): https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/
- Official proclamations by the Constitutional Council (Conseil constitutionnel): https://www.conseil-constitutionnel.fr/