A Tesla fornecerá (ou será incluída em) um serviço de transporte autônomo por aplicativo antes do final de 2026?
TecnologiaOne-Off3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 79.8%
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Atualizado há 54 minutos
Atrasado3/12/22, 06:10 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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The service allows anyone within some area (possibly a restricted area, possibly not) to hail an autonomous Tesla.
- They are either not able to or not required to drive it themselves.
- Dec 3, 7:12pm: Will Tesla provide an autonomous driving service before the end of 2026 → Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026
- Update 2026-01-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will not resolve YES until the service has a larger number of cars operating in the area.
- A small pilot program where most hail attempts result in a safety driver does not meet the resolution requirements for an autonomous service.
- Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the market to resolve YES, wait times must stay under 20 minutes over a practically broad area to count as the service being available.
Mercados abertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 802,6 mil
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- € 736,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 585,6 mil
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 mais resultados
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POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
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KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de A Tesla fornecerá (ou será incluída em) um serviço de transporte autônomo por aplicativo antes do final de 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando A Tesla fornecerá (ou será incluída em) um serviço de transporte autônomo por aplicativo antes do final de 2026? é resolvido?
- A Tesla fornecerá (ou será incluída em) um serviço de transporte autônomo por aplicativo antes do final de 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como A Tesla fornecerá (ou será incluída em) um serviço de transporte autônomo por aplicativo antes do final de 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The service allows anyone within some area (possibly a restricted area, possibly not) to hail an autonomous Tesla.