Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026?
TecnologiaOne-Off3m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 93.9%
Previsores
24
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado16/01/24, 05:02 UTC1/01/27, 07:59 UTC
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- Resolution Criteria: The market resolves "Yes" if Tesla’s Optimus Gen-2 robot is available for general sale by December 31, 2026, as confirmed by an official Tesla announcement or product launch.
- If the robot is not available by this date, the market resolves "No."
- Resolution Date & Time: December 31, 2026, at 23:59 PST.
- Update 2026-03-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For this market to resolve Yes, the Optimus Gen-2 must be in stock and actively shipping to customers.
- A pre-order phase alone does not qualify.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 94% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: https://twitter.com/tesla_optimus