Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 88%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 51 minutos
Atrasado14/10/26, 08:33 UTC29/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Description / Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves based on whether Starship successfully deploys the payload or payload simulator explicitly scheduled for deployment during SpaceX's Starship Flight 15 mission.
- (obviously Starlink satellites)
- YES if SpaceX confirms that the planned payload has been successfully released from Starship during Flight 15, and the release is supported by official mission footage or an official mission update.
- NO if the planned payload is not released, or not relaeasd completely , the deployment attempt fails, the payload remains attached to Starship, or SpaceX confirms that the planned deployment did not occur.
- A payload merely being carried into space, reaching orbit, or being visible inside Starship does not count as successful deployment.
