Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 71.4%
Previsores
56
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado19/05/23, 18:02 UTC1/01/30, 00:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiWill Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
KalshiWill Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?
Manifold MarketsBlue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?
PolymarketRegras
Both SpaceX and Blue Origin are planning to send demo landers to the moon, before their crewed missions for Artemis III and V respectively.
- Even before the official uncrewed demo landing Blue Origin is planning to send two pathfinder landers to the moon, in 2024 and 2025.
- These BO landers might not actually look like the Artemis mission lander.
- They will likely be the small "Blue Moon" landers, not the lander that got awarded the Appendix P contract.
- Nevertheless, these landers count for the purposes of this market.
- Starship's uncrewed demo landing is scheduled for 2024, according to NASA's timeline.
Mercados abertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,750 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,1 mi
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+19.0pt57%
- 180-199-5.5pt35%
- 200-219-6.8pt5%
+23 mais resultados
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above98%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 319,9 mil
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+7.0pt68.3%
- Before March 2027-3.0pt19.2%
- Before February 2027+2.0pt8.3%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- New York City+68.0pt99%
- Boston+46.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+11.0pt99%
+19 mais resultados
- Volume total
LIMITLESSAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- No50.6%
- Yes49.4%
- Volume total
- € 217,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 215,2 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Starship land on the moon before Blue Origin does??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 71% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Starship land on the moon before Blue Origin does? é resolvido?
- Will Starship land on the moon before Blue Origin does? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Will Starship land on the moon before Blue Origin does? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Both SpaceX and Blue Origin are planning to send demo landers to the moon, before their crewed missions for Artemis III and V respectively.