Will SpaceX launch a rocket from Louisiana by December 31, 2028?
PolíticaOne-OffEspaçoTecnologiaGeopolíticaOriente MédioEuropa2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 90%
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado26/08/26, 16:05 UTC31/12/28, 17:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolves YES if a SpaceX rocket lifts off from the announced Vermilion Parish, Louisiana launch facility by 11:59 PM Central Time on December 31, 2028.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Static-fire tests, hops that are not licensed as launches, and launches from other SpaceX sites do not count.
- The mission's later outcome does not matter.
- Source: Louisiana Economic Development.
- The market closes twelve hours before the deadline.
