Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 80.1%
Previsores
16
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado22/05/23, 17:47 UTC1/01/35, 00:59 UTC
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KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketRegras
Currently SpaceX had launched rockets in the Falcon 9 family a total of 232 times.
- The expectation is that when Starship is operational, Falcon 9 will be phased out in favor of Starship.
- Will they launch at least 800 times before retiring the Falcon 9?
- This market includes early versions of Falcon 9 as well as current and potential future versions.
- It also includes Falcon Heavy, though each Heavy launch only counts once, not 3 times.
- This market does not count Falcon 1.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 800 times??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 800 times? é resolvido?
- Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 800 times? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2035.
- Como Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 800 times? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Currently SpaceX had launched rockets in the Falcon 9 family a total of 232 times.