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  1. Mercados de Previsão
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  3. Will SpaceX complete an initial public offering (IPO) by the end of 2026 and at what valuation?
Manifold Markets

Will SpaceX complete an initial public offering (IPO) by the end of 2026 and at what valuation?

RegulamentaçãoIATecnologia6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSem KYC
Previsão da comunidade atual
Manifold Markets
No IPO by Dec 31, 2026 0.2%
Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores

17

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 dias

Desatualizado
19/02/26, 21:3031/12/26, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
Manifold Markets
No IPO by Dec 31, 2026
0.2%
Manifold Markets
Yes — valuation under $500B
0.2%
Manifold Markets
Yes — valuation $500B–$1T
0.2%

Resultado escolhido

Yes — valuation $1T–$1.5T4%

Regras

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • SpaceX has confirmed a target IPO date of 2026.
  • This market resolves based on whether an IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, and at what valuation.
  • Resolution will be determined by the official IPO pricing as reported by major financial news outlets (Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC, Financial Times) and SEC filings.
  • If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, the market resolves to "No IPO by June 30, 2026." If an IPO occurs after June 30, 2026, but before year-end, it resolves to the appropriate valuation bracket.
  • If market conditions prevent an IPO from occurring by December 31, 2026, the market resolves to "No IPO by June 30, 2026."

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,937.52+2.68%SolanaSOL$65.45+3.04%EthereumETH$1,659.85+2.30%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.96%BNBBNB$600.65+2.80%XRPXRP$1.12+0.87%

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Regras

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • SpaceX has confirmed a target IPO date of 2026.
  • This market resolves based on whether an IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, and at what valuation.
  • Resolution will be determined by the official IPO pricing as reported by major financial news outlets (Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC, Financial Times) and SEC filings.
  • If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, the market resolves to "No IPO by June 30, 2026." If an IPO occurs after June 30, 2026, but before year-end, it resolves to the appropriate valuation bracket.
  • If market conditions prevent an IPO from occurring by December 31, 2026, the market resolves to "No IPO by June 30, 2026."