Will someone other than Andy Burnham be UK Prime Minister at any point before 1 August 2028?
PolíticaOne-Off1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 62.7%
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado20/07/26, 14:33 UTC1/08/28, 21:00 UTC
Tendências
Regras
This market resolves based on whether any individual other than Andy Burnham formally holds the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any time during the period from 21 July 2026 up to and including 1 August 2028 (UK local time).
- Resolves YES if:
- Any person other than Andy Burnham is formally appointed Prime Minister by the monarch during the resolution window; or
- Any person other than Andy Burnham serves as Prime Minister, including in an acting, interim, or caretaker capacity, for any duration (even briefly) within the resolution window; or
- Andy Burnham resigns, dies, is removed, or otherwise ceases to hold office and another individual assumes the role, even temporarily, before the end date.
- Resolves NO if:
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will someone other than Andy Burnham be UK Prime Minister at any point before 1 August 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 63% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will someone other than Andy Burnham be UK Prime Minister at any point before 1 August 2028? é resolvido?
- Will someone other than Andy Burnham be UK Prime Minister at any point before 1 August 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de agosto de 2028.
- Como Will someone other than Andy Burnham be UK Prime Minister at any point before 1 August 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves based on whether any individual other than Andy Burnham formally holds the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any time during the period from 21 July 2026 up to and including 1 August 2028 (UK local time).