Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 79.4%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado2/07/26, 17:36 UTC31/12/30, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsRegras
A weather market includes weather futures, markets on snow, rain, temperature in a city.
- Things that would count: geoengineering, earthworks, reforestation
- An entity must manipulate the weather itself.
- The manipulation must have some reasonable intent of manipulating the prediction market.
- Manipulating a weather measurement device with false measurements does not count.
- However, manipulating a measurement device with real weather changes does count.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will someone manipulate the weather to manipulate a weather market??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 79% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will someone manipulate the weather to manipulate a weather market? é resolvido?
- Will someone manipulate the weather to manipulate a weather market? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2030.
- Como Will someone manipulate the weather to manipulate a weather market? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: A weather market includes weather futures, markets on snow, rain, temperature in a city.