Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 12 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
CommoditiesDailyChina15d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 15 de out. de 2026, 13:31 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 56.9%
Previsores
1
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado8/04/26, 14:27 UTC31/10/26, 04:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 25 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 17 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 17 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 25 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsSMM CIF Rotterdam APT price on January 7, 2027
Kalshi8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves YES if Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceeds 12 USD/kg on October 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Samarium oxide (Sm2O3, 3N) spot price in the Western market (CIF Rotterdam or equivalent ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to October 31, 2026.
- YES if: Western Sm2O3 spot price >= 12 USD/kg on October 31, 2026 NO if: Western Sm2O3 spot price < 12 USD/kg on October 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Argus REE samarium oxide — CIF Rotterdam or Western assessment
- Fastmarkets (ex-Metal Pages) Sm2O3 Western spot assessment
