Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 17 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
CommoditiesDailyChinaMacro e economia15d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 15 de out. de 2026, 13:31 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 55.1%
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado8/04/26, 14:27 UTC31/10/26, 04:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 12 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 25 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 25 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 12 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsSMM CIF Rotterdam APT price on January 7, 2027
KalshiCATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves YES if Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceeds 17 USD/kg on October 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Samarium oxide (Sm2O3, 3N) spot price in the Western market (CIF Rotterdam or equivalent ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to October 31, 2026.
- YES if: Western Sm2O3 spot price >= 17 USD/kg on October 31, 2026 NO if: Western Sm2O3 spot price < 17 USD/kg on October 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Argus REE samarium oxide — CIF Rotterdam or Western assessment
- Fastmarkets (ex-Metal Pages) Sm2O3 Western spot assessment
