Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 56.9%
Previsores
1
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
8/04/26, 14:23 UTC31/10/26, 04:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 200 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 100 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 200 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsCATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsCATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Dec 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves YES if Sm metal (Western) spot price exceeds 100 USD/kg on October 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Samarium metal (Sm, 99%+ purity) spot price in the Western market (ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to October 31, 2026.
- YES if: Western Sm metal spot price >= 100 USD/kg on October 31, 2026 NO if: Western Sm metal spot price < 100 USD/kg on October 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Argus REE samarium metal — Western assessment
- Asian Metal — samarium metal Western or ex-China prices
