Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 56.9%
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1
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 35 minutos
8/04/26, 14:23 UTC31/12/26, 05:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves YES if Sm metal (Western) spot price exceeds 200 USD/kg on December 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Samarium metal (Sm, 99%+ purity) spot price in the Western market (ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to December 31, 2026.
- YES if: Western Sm metal spot price >= 200 USD/kg on December 31, 2026 NO if: Western Sm metal spot price < 200 USD/kg on December 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Argus REE samarium metal — Western assessment
- Asian Metal — samarium metal Western or ex-China prices
