Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 56.9%
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1
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado8/04/26, 14:24 UTC31/03/27, 04:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves YES if Sm metal (Western) spot price exceeds 50 USD/kg on March 31, 2027.
- What is being measured: Samarium metal (Sm, 99%+ purity) spot price in the Western market (ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to March 31, 2027.
- YES if: Western Sm metal spot price >= 50 USD/kg on March 31, 2027 NO if: Western Sm metal spot price < 50 USD/kg on March 31, 2027
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Argus REE samarium metal — Western assessment
- Asian Metal — samarium metal Western or ex-China prices
