Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 07:45 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 56.9%
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Atualizado há 57 minutos
Atrasado8/04/26, 14:23 UTC31/10/26, 04:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves YES if Sm metal (Western) spot price exceeds 50 USD/kg on October 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Samarium metal (Sm, 99%+ purity) spot price in the Western market (ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to October 31, 2026.
- YES if: Western Sm metal spot price >= 50 USD/kg on October 31, 2026 NO if: Western Sm metal spot price < 50 USD/kg on October 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Argus REE samarium metal — Western assessment
- Asian Metal — samarium metal Western or ex-China prices
