Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 70.1%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado16/05/26, 06:31 UTC16/05/28, 06:26 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
When will Slay the Spire 2 be fully released?
Manifold MarketsLLM agent is able to reliably beat Slay the Spire 2 before EOY 2027
Manifold MarketsWill an available out-of-the-box LLM get >40% win rate on Slay the Spire A20 before August 2027?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiNext James Bond actor?
PolymarketRegras
Resolves YES if Act 4 is released to a publicly playable branch before any new alternate acts are released to a publicly playable branch.
- Renaming or reworking a current act doesn't count as a new alternate act.
- Resolves to 50% if they released at the same time in the same patch.
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 342,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 91,2 mil
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 182,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 90,8 mil
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 mais resultados
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 264,6 mil
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 84,3 mil
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Slay the Spire 2 release Act 4 before a new alternate act??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 70% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Slay the Spire 2 release Act 4 before a new alternate act? é resolvido?
- Will Slay the Spire 2 release Act 4 before a new alternate act? deverá ser resolvido em 16 de maio de 2028.
- Como Will Slay the Spire 2 release Act 4 before a new alternate act? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if Act 4 is released to a publicly playable branch before any new alternate acts are released to a publicly playable branch.