Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 70.2%
Previsores
25
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado22/10/25, 17:53 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Scott Wiener is declared the official winner of the general election for California's 11th congressional district in the 2026 U.S. House elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- Resolution will be based on the certified results published by the California Secretary of State.
- Scott Wiener is currently a Democratic member of the California State Senate, representing the 11th district, which includes San Francisco and parts of San Mateo County.
- He was first elected to the State Senate in 2016 and re-elected in 2020 and 2024.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 70.2% em 22 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election? é resolvido?
- Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria