Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 89.5%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado13/04/26, 14:28 UTC5/03/29, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) receives at least 5% of the party list votes ("Zweitstimme") in the next German federal election.
- It will resolve to "No" otherwise.
- The official result will be determined by the Federal Returning Officer (Die Bundeswahlleiterin).
- Verification can be made via the official website at https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/.
- If the party meets the threshold through winning three constituencies despite failing the 5% party list vote, the market will still resolve to "Yes."
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 90% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election? é resolvido?
- Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election? deverá ser resolvido em 5 de março de 2029.
- Como Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria