Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 97.5%
Previsores
25
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado18/09/23, 07:29 UTC1/01/27, 06:59 UTC
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Regras
Currently Rocket Lab is planning on sending an atomospheric probe to Venus with a target launch date of January 2025:
- https://venuscloudlife.com/small-mission/
- https://www.rocketlabusa.com/missions/upcoming-missions/first-private-mission-to-venus/
- This market resolve YES if Rocket Lab succesfully delivers any kind of atmospheric measurement probe into the Venusian atmosphere by the end of 2026.
- The probe does not need to successfully collect data or function; it just needs to actually enter the atmosphere.
- I have chosen a close time of 2026 to accomodate both the travel time to Venus and smaller delays.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 98% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Currently Rocket Lab is planning on sending an atomospheric probe to Venus with a target launch date of January 2025: