Will Republicans surprisingly win the house in 2026 midterms?
PolíticaOne-OffEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 2026Política dos EUAEleição29d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 93.1%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado25/10/26, 18:01 UTC30/11/26, 11:00 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Republican Party wins a majority of seats (at least 218 seats) in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 2026 midterm elections.
- Resolution will be determined once all race results are officially certified or when major decision desks (e.g., AP News, Decision Desk HQ) project a Republican majority.
- If Democrats or any other coalition win 218 or more seats, this market resolves to NO.
- Note on wording: Subjective terms in the title such as "surprisingly" are disregarded for resolution; the market resolves strictly on whether Republicans retain or win control of the House.
- The 2026 United States midterm elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026, with all 435 voting seats in the House of Representatives on the ballot.