Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 61.9%
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado8/02/26, 22:03 UTC14/08/29, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Reform UK's next published manifesto (after their 2024 manifesto "Our Contract with You") does not include a commitment to proportional representation or a referendum on PR.
- It resolves NO if the manifesto maintains or reaffirms such a commitment.
- Resolution will be determined by examining the official manifesto document published by Reform UK ahead of their next general election campaign.
- The manifesto should be checked against Reform UK's 2024 manifesto, which called for a referendum on PR.
- Reform UK supports electoral reform, favouring a switch to a proportional voting system; in their 2024 manifesto, they called for a referendum on PR.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Reform drop their commitment to Proportional Representation in their next manifesto??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 62% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Reform drop their commitment to Proportional Representation in their next manifesto? é resolvido?
- Will Reform drop their commitment to Proportional Representation in their next manifesto? deverá ser resolvido em 14 de agosto de 2029.
- Como Will Reform drop their commitment to Proportional Representation in their next manifesto? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria