Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 92%
Previsores
22
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado23/01/26, 20:43 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRegras
This market resolves YES if there are at least five confirmed cases of poliomyelitis (paralytic polio) in the United States during 2026.
- Cases must be confirmed by the CDC and reported through official surveillance channels.
- Paralytic polio is designated an immediately notifiable, urgent disease, which requires state and local health authorities to notify CDC within 24 hours of identification.
- Resolution will be determined by CDC case counts as reported on their official website or in CDC Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Reports (MMWR)
Mercados abertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volume total
- € 15,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 20,3 mil
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 8 mil
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume total
- € 84,1 mil
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- € 652,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3,4 mil
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 865,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3 mil
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volume total
- € 915,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,2 mil
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- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
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- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Polio make a comeback in the US in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 92% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Polio make a comeback in the US in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Polio make a comeback in the US in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Polio make a comeback in the US in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if there are at least five confirmed cases of poliomyelitis (paralytic polio) in the United States during 2026.