Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 91.1%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado14/03/26, 21:10 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Poland officially completes its withdrawal from the European Union (per Article 50 of the TEU) before January 1, 2030.
- Resolution requires either a ratified withdrawal agreement or the expiration of the two-year notification period.
- The market resolves to NO if Poland remains a member state through December 31, 2029.
- Market Background: The 2026 Crisis
- While the 2023 elections brought a pro-EU coalition to power under Donald Tusk, the political landscape shifted dramatically following the June 2025 Presidential Election.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Poland leave European Union before 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 91% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Poland leave European Union before 2030? é resolvido?
- Will Poland leave European Union before 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Will Poland leave European Union before 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria