Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030?
One-OffHealth & MedicineCiênciaTecnologia3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 94.8%
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7
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 52 minutos
Atrasado2/04/26, 15:28 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves YES iff Nectome preserves over a thousand patients in a single calendar year.
- I will be lenient about what counts as a preservation, and resolve based on any credible claim by the company.
- See also: https://manifold.markets/MaxHarms/will-nectome-perform-1000-brain-pre
- Update 2026-04-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Only human brain preservations count toward resolution.
- Animal (e.g. pet) preservations do not count.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030? é resolvido?
- Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES iff Nectome preserves over a thousand patients in a single calendar year.