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20/05/25, 08:13 UTC19/03/27, 23:59 UTC
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This question concerns the potential candidacy of Marine Le Pen, leader of the far-right party Rassemblement National (RN), in the upcoming 2027 presidential race in France.
- Marine Le Pen has announced her intention to run in 2027, aiming for the presidency for the fourth time.
- However, her ability to stand as a candidate is currently uncertain due to a recent legal conviction that includes a five-year ban on holding political office, linked to a case of misappropriation of European Parliament funds.
- She has appealed this ruling, with the appeal trial expected in early 2026.
- If the appeal fails, Marine Le Pen will be ineligible to run, and the RN’s current president, Jordan Bardella, has already positioned himself as a potential substitute candidate, with the party preparing for this contingency.
- Polls suggest Bardella might even perform as well or better than Le Pen in the election.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 92% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election? é resolvido?
- Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election? deverá ser resolvido em 19 de março de 2027.
- Como Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This question concerns the potential candidacy of Marine Le Pen, leader of the far-right party Rassemblement National (RN), in the upcoming 2027 presidential race in France.