Will Manifold implement "resolves-to-multiple" Multiple Choice markets before 2027?
One-OffTecnologia2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 82.9%
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4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 59 minutos
Atrasado1/11/25, 02:44 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
This refers to the Multiple Choice market type which maintains a total percentage across all options, not the Set type.
- To enable easier trading on markets like "Who will be in the top 5" or "Which of these 10 will be selected", it would be possible to set up a market with enough Yes shares that 10 separate answers could all resolve to 100%.
- The new market structure must improve capital efficiency compared to the existing structure of "All 5 resolve to 20% each" that people sometimes do.
- I'm the final arbiter of whether something counts.
- Resolves Yes if Manifold implements this before 2027 and it goes live long enough for at least one market to be created.
- Resolves No otherwise.
