Will Lula win Brazil's October 25, 2026 runoff with at least 52% of the valid votes?
PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoAmérica LatinaManifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Yes (1.6%)
Resolvido: 25 de out. de 2026, 21:34
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
Yes
A 7 dias
—
A 24 horas
—
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 27 de out. de 2026, 06:55 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes1.6%
No98.4%
Perdeu
Ganhou
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FutuurRegras
The runoff is between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro.
- Resolves YES if Lula wins the runoff and his share of the valid votes (votos válidos) is 52.00% or higher in the official results of Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE).
- Resolves NO otherwise (including if Lula loses).
- Resolves N/A if the runoff is postponed beyond November 15, 2026.
- Trading closes October 25, 2026 at 12:00 Paris time, before polls close.
- The creator will not bet on this market.
