Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 24 de out. de 2026, 01:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 67%
Previsores
22
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado27/02/26, 23:38 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Lauren Boebert wins the general election for Colorado's 4th Congressional District on November 3, 2026.
- The Republican primary is June 30, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official election results from the Colorado Secretary of State or Associated Press race calls.
- Boebert was elected to the 4th district with 53.6% of the vote in 2024.
- After one term in Congress representing the 3rd District, Boebert nearly lost reelection in 2022, then moved across the state and switched to the more heavily Republican 4th District.