Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 71%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado27/02/26, 23:38 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Lauren Boebert wins the general election for Colorado's 4th Congressional District on November 3, 2026.
- The Republican primary is June 30, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official election results from the Colorado Secretary of State or Associated Press race calls.
- Boebert was elected to the 4th district with 53.6% of the vote in 2024.
- After one term in Congress representing the 3rd District, Boebert nearly lost reelection in 2022, then moved across the state and switched to the more heavily Republican 4th District.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Lauren Boebert be re-elected to the House in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 71% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Lauren Boebert be re-elected to the House in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Lauren Boebert be re-elected to the House in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Lauren Boebert be re-elected to the House in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria