Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 95.4%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
16/09/26, 13:30 UTC8/10/26, 21:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the Labour Party candidate (Sagal Abdi-Wali) wins the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election scheduled for October 8, 2026.
- It will resolve to NO if any other candidate wins the seat.
- The outcome will be verified using the official election results published by Camden Council.
- The 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election was triggered on September 1, 2026, following the resignation of former Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer as the Member of Parliament for the constituency.
- Starmer, who stood down as Prime Minister earlier in 2026, announced he was vacating his parliamentary seat to focus on international affairs.
