Will Ken Paxton Accept the Results of the Texas Senate Election if He Loses
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoCrime e justiçaEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20265d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 55.2%
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
21/10/26, 06:14 UTC4/11/26, 01:00 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the official outcome of the November 3, 2026, United States Senate election in Texas and the subsequent public actions and statements of Republican nominee Ken Paxton.
- Precondition: If Ken Paxton wins the election, or if the general election does not take place, this market will resolve N/A. If Ken Paxton loses the election according to the final certified tally by the Texas Secretary of State:
- YES: Ken Paxton publicly concedes the race (via an official speech, verified campaign release, or public statement on his official social media accounts) OR explicitly acknowledges his opponent's victory without filing a formal legal election contest challenging the certified outcome prior to the statutory certification deadline.
- NO: Ken Paxton publicly refuses to concede, publicly asserts that the official outcome is illegitimate or stolen, or files an official legal contest or lawsuit seeking to overturn or block certification of the election results that is not withdrawn or dismissed by the time the winning candidate is seated.
