Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 97%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado17/03/26, 17:31 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Resolution criteria
- The next United Kingdom general election is scheduled to be held no later than 15 August 2029.
- This market resolves YES if Keir Starmer is reelected as Prime Minister following the 2029 general election.
- The 2024 general election resulted in a landslide victory for the Labour Party led by Keir Starmer, but with the smallest share of the electoral vote of any majority government since record-keeping of the popular vote began in 1830.
- The Conservative Party under Rishi Sunak lost 251 seats and suffered their worst ever defeat, ending their 14-year tenure as the primary governing party.
- Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage, came third in the share of the vote in the 2024 election and had MPs elected to the Commons for the first time.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Keir Starmer be reelected PM in 2029??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 97% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Keir Starmer be reelected PM in 2029? é resolvido?
- Will Keir Starmer be reelected PM in 2029? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Will Keir Starmer be reelected PM in 2029? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria