Will Joe Rogan Run for President of the United States Before 2037?
PolíticaOne-OffEsportes de combatePolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEsportes10a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 90.1%
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 minutos
12/10/26, 17:22 UTC31/12/36, 23:59 UTC
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Regras
This market resolves YES if Joe Rogan formally becomes a candidate for president of the United States at any point between market creation and December 31, 2036, whether as a Republican, Democrat, independent, third-party candidate, or write-in candidate.
- It resolves NO if Rogan does not become a presidential candidate by that deadline.
- Resolution criteria:
- A qualifying candidacy requires at least one of the following:
- Rogan publicly and unambiguously announces that he is running for president and takes a concrete step toward organizing a campaign.
- Rogan files a Statement of Candidacy (FEC Form 2) with the Federal Election Commission identifying himself as a presidential candidate.
