Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Joe Biden visit the White House ever again??

A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 64.7% em 25 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Will Joe Biden visit the White House ever again? é resolvido?

Will Joe Biden visit the White House ever again? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Sim 64.7%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 47 minutos

Atrasado

9/01/26, 17:23 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

Re-making this market as I thought it's an interesting question but the previous market creator N/A'd it in protest of the loan rule change.

Resolution Criteria
This market resolves YES if Joe Biden visits the White House building at any point after 09th January 2026.
This includes any visit to any part of the White House complex, whether for official events, ceremonies, or private occasions.
The visit must be confirmed through credible news reporting or official White House records.
This market resolves NO if Biden dies before he visits the White House again.