Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 94.5%
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 50 minutos
Atrasado29/06/26, 20:45 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
PolymarketWill "Church Planting: When Venture Capital Finds Jesus" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf the US confirms aliens exist, will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWho will the next Pope be?
KalshiRegras
Os critérios de resolução ainda não estão disponíveis para este mercado. Esta seção será preenchida nas próximas atualizações quando as regras da fonte forem armazenadas.
Mercados abertos
ReligionPOLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume total
- € 56,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 13 mil
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No99%
- Yes-49.0pt1%
- Volume total
- € 10,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 9,5 mil
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Pietro Parolin-0.8pt4%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 117,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 4,3
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No+1.0pt90%
- Yes-1.0pt10%
- Volume total
- € 797,5
- Volume 24h
- —
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume total
- € 673,9
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Trump post another religious image deifying himself?
- Yes70%
- No30%
- Volume total
- € 16,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 94,9
- Restrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- GutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
- Will the next pope convene Vatican 3?
- Catholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will jesus respawn before 2027?????
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 95% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will jesus respawn before 2027???? é resolvido?
- Will jesus respawn before 2027???? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.