Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 75.1%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado16/12/24, 02:36 UTC31/12/26, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsRegras
I currently reside in Texas and rely on exogenous estradiol for hormonal therapy.
- This market will resolve YES if, at any point before 2027, it becomes impractical for me to obtain estradiol for at least one month.
- It will resolve N/A if I move to a different state before 2027 or if Texas ceases to exist.
Mercados abertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 2027-6.0pt11%
- December 31, 2026-4.0pt3%
- Volume total
- € 19,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 16,2 mil
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.2pt97%
- Yes-0.2pt3%
- Volume total
- € 15,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 4,9 mil
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400098%
- Above 6000+5.0pt69%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 904 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 4,2 mil
POLYMARKETHow many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
- 35 to 49-6.0pt45.8%
- 50 or more+26.9pt36.5%
- 20 to 34-26.5pt16.7%
KALSHIHow many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Above 8k+9.0pt97%
- Above 7k89%
- Above 9k81%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 13,9 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
- ↑2k+0.2pt100%
+9 mais resultados
- Pandemic in 2026?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 75% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027? é resolvido?
- Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: I currently reside in Texas and rely on exogenous estradiol for hormonal therapy.