Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 93.5%
Previsores
29
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado2/01/26, 00:10 UTC1/01/27, 08:00 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
Will resolve to NO if and only if I intentionally eat non-vegan food at some point before 12:00 AM EST on January 1st, 2027.
- For simplicity, this market only concerns my diet, and not e.g. purchasing leather (unless I eat it afterwards).
- Eating the following will NOT be sufficient for the market to resolve NO: clams, oysters, scallops, and similarly simple animals, as long as I am sufficiently confident they're not sentient that I judge eating them to be morally justifiable; lab-grown meat; honey, if I change my mind on whether eating it is justifiable; vitamins and drugs
- Eating the following WILL be sufficient to resolve NO: non-human animal flesh, gelatin, dairy, and eggs, except as specified above.
- (This list is not exhaustive.)
- Eating animal products on accident will not be sufficient for NO.
