Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Yes (98.5%)
Resolvido: 15 de ago. de 2026, 11:28
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 98.5%
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 dias
Desatualizado28/07/24, 18:194/08/26, 21:59
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes98.5%
No1.5%
98.5%
1.5%
Regras
I’m tubefed and bedridden, suffering from an undisclosed severe chronic illness (not terminal), although some people die, especially at risk of infections.
- M20 previously healthy.
- Disease is too rare to have prognosis statistics, but has a high rate of suicide also (since no treatment or cure).
- I obviously won’t bet here.
- 2 years time is 2026 August 1.
Mercados abertos
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
- Yes+1.0pt87.1%
- No-1.0pt12.9%
- Volume total
- € 32,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 15,4 mil
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 15 mil
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.1pt97%
- Yes-0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- € 15,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 8,9 mil
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 3000-1.0pt96%
- Above 4000-1.0pt81%
- Above 6000+5.0pt29%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 782,3 mil
POLYMARKETHeidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
- December 3172%
- October 3133%
- November 3033%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6,5 mil
KALSHIWhen will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- Before Aug 1, 202774%
- Before Apr 1, 202767%
- Before Jan 1, 202767%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 4,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3,7 mil
- FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
- New pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Brepocitinib by Priovant Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will I be alive in 2 years time??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 99% em 16 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Will I be alive in 2 years time? é resolvido?
- Will I be alive in 2 years time? deverá ser resolvido em 4 de agosto de 2026.
- Como Will I be alive in 2 years time? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: I’m tubefed and bedridden, suffering from an undisclosed severe chronic illness (not terminal), although some people die, especially at risk of infections.